Evaluation
Research
Calibration and closing-line value will compare the stats-only model against the context model.
Model A
Dixon-Coles baseline
Brier 0.214Log loss 0.612CLV pending
Model B
Context model
Brier pendingLog loss pendingCLV pending
Calibration scaffold
40-50%
46%
50-60%
55%
60-70%
65%